Everyone is very excited about Dan Haren joining the Dbacks starting rotation, but I thought I would add some knowledge for y'all. Webb & Haren both had 34 starts, pretty routine for them the past 3 years, or 68 starts between them. Webb had 18 wins and Haren 15 last year for a total of 33. Webby and the Dbacks also won 4 additional games (out of 6) he started but did not factor into the decision. The A's also won 4 games when Haren received a no decision. Assuming that both have similar seasons, which is highly probable, that is a total of 41 wins in 68 games. 41 - 27, or 13 games over .500 from our top two starters. If the number 3 - 5 starters can just play .500 ball for the remaining season it will translate into 88-74.
I personally think that Haren will easily have a higher winning percentage due to being on a much better team than last year and expect at least 3 - 5 more team wins from the Dbacks, thus bumping that 88 wins to 92 and enough for the playoffs. Bottom Line - Webb and Haren will pitch the DBacks into the postseason if we can just get .500 ball from Davis, Owens and RJ or... ? The 1 - 2 punch of Webby and Haren will be even more effective in the playoffs, it should be a very good year! Is it February yet?
Thursday, December 20, 2007
Haren to the DBacks, WoW
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