NFL Picks

40-29-5 on the season, with two weeks left. A good week this week, and i'll be in good shape to finish the season. Off we go!

Cleveland -3 over Cincinnati
I think this line should be higher. I also don't think it will be quite the high-scoring, defense-less affair it was the first time these two teams met.

Indianapolis -7 over Houston
This game does scare me a little bit, for a number of reasons. One, Indy has nothing to play for, so they might be into the game. Two, this has all the feelings of Manning playing for 2.5 quarters, then sitting for the rest of the game, which would be incredibly detrimental to my fantasy team in the super bowl. Three, the Texans have a tendency to play pretty well against the Colts as of late. But, i still like the Colts. Hopefully Manning will be sharp, through for 250 yards and three touches before sitting down midway through the 3rd quarter.

Detroit -5 over Kansas City
How do you right the Lions ship? Bring in the Chiefs to play them.

Philadelphia +3.5 over New Orleans
The Saints are on fire right now. They are fighting for a playoff spot, needing just a little bit of help. The Eagles were eliminated from the playoffs last week and have nothing to play for. McNabb's future with the Eagles is in doubt, and other than last week's win over the Cowboys, haven't been playing all that great. That said, i like the Eagles to play spoiler here for some reason...

San Diego -9 over Denver
The Chargers might be the hottest team in football (with my own Vikings), and are playing great right now. They're at home, and have been straight killing the Broncos lately. Expect a blow-out.

Atlanta +10.5 over Arizona
The last time the Cards were a double-digit favorite at home, they lost to a terrible, terrible San Francisco team. I can't fathom a situation, under any circumstance, where the Cards should be a double-digit favorite over anyone. I don't care how well they've played at time this year and how awful the Falcons are. I don't think the Falcons will win, but i don't think they'll get blown out either.

New England -22 over Miami
I am really wrestling with this pick this week. I've been pounding the Patriots all year, but the last few weeks they haven't been playing quite as sharp and haven't been covering. Yet, Vegas hasn't adjusted for that yet and is still giving them huge lines. Still, the Dolphins are pretty bad and the Patriots are pretty good.